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CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mwanza I.
68' Event
Mwanza I.
84' Event
Pimienta

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between CD Azuaga and CF Trujillo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
CD Azuaga
15%
Draws
16%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Azuaga come out ahead of CF Trujillo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga CF Trujillo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.68 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Azuaga
2:4
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
3:0
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
0:0
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CF Trujillo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwanza I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pimienta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
CF Trujillo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Azuaga scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: CF Trujillo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

CD Azuaga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)