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CD Azuaga vs Gevora

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
CD Azuaga Logo

CD Azuaga

2 - 0
FT
Gevora Logo

Gevora

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Aguado E.
43' Event
Piochi V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Azuaga and Gevora finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Azuaga
20%
Draws
23%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Gevora
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Gevora
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs CD Azuaga
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piochi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gevora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 95 / 100
Gevora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Gevora conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CD Azuaga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS Gevora
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 7

Gevora

(Away)
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
08 Aug
Cacereno
2 : 1
Gevora
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)