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CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aguado E.
27' Event
Gil J.

AI Match Summary

CD Azuaga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CD Azuaga
15%
Draws
27%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Azuaga lately — more wins on the board than Jerez CF.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 20%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Azuaga Jerez CF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Azuaga
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
3:3
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Azuaga
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Jerez CF
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gil J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jerez CF Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Azuaga 85 / 100
Jerez CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Azuaga Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Azuaga scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Jerez CF let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: CD Azuaga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Azuaga VS Jerez CF
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Azuaga

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

Jerez CF

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)