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CD Badajoz B vs SP Villafranca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022 Estadio Nuevo Vivero
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz B play SP Villafranca in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Badajoz B averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. SP Villafranca averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, CD Badajoz B won 0, SP Villafranca won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2022 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for CD Badajoz B and 1.11 for SP Villafranca. This points to a SP Villafranca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CD Badajoz B
26%
Draws
49%
SP Villafranca
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • CD Badajoz B picked up more points recently compared to SP Villafranca.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
CD Badajoz B Clean Sheet 21%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz B SP Villafranca
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz B vs SP Villafranca
0:3
Sep 26, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Badajoz B
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz B 27 / 100
SP Villafranca 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz B SP Villafranca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SP Villafranca or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Badajoz B attacking → ← attacking SP Villafranca

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz B scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SP Villafranca let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

CD Badajoz B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SP Villafranca lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CD Diocesano30203761:3063
2Moralo301410639:1952
3AD Llerenense301312544:3251
4Jerez CF30147938:3049
5Arroyo301212640:3048
6CF Trujillo301212640:2748
7CD Azuaga301212641:3148
8CD Calamonte301110935:3343
9UP Plasencia301081224:2938
10SP Villafranca309101127:3037
11Olivenza FC307121131:3533
12Don Alvaro307101336:4431
13Miajadas30851730:4829
14Aceuchal30781524:4229
15CD Badajoz B30691524:3827
16Extremadura UD B30642018:540