Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Badajoz vs CD Cuarte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Villaoslada J.
13' Event
Quezada G.
90' Event
Bravo C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with CD Badajoz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Badajoz
35%
Draws
25%
CD Cuarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Badajoz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • CD Badajoz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Badajoz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
CD Cuarte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz CD Cuarte
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 16
Draws 6 11
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 2.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Cuarte vs CD Badajoz
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Badajoz vs CD Cuarte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Quezada G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bravo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Cuarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Villaoslada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 68 / 100
CD Cuarte 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz CD Cuarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Badajoz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Badajoz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Cuarte has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS CD Cuarte
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3
CD Coria
Page 1 of 6

CD Cuarte

(Away)
08 Aug
Huesca B
2 : 2
CD Cuarte
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CD Tropezon 1
Arnedo 2
Real Murcia B 3
Pamplona 2
Guijuelo 2
Tamaraceite 3
Trival Valderas 0
La Nucia 1
Compostela 3
CF Badalona 2
Arenas Armilla 3
Pena Deportiva 6
Atletico Central 3
Caudal Deportivo 1
CD Badajoz 3
CD Cuarte 2
Leioa 1
Albacete B 2