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CD Badajoz vs Montehermoso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Barba J.
10' Event
Bermudez J.
38' Event
Quezada G.

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
CD Badajoz
20%
Draws
6%
Montehermoso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Badajoz lately — more wins on the board than Montehermoso.
  • CD Badajoz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Badajoz have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Montehermoso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Montehermoso
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.73 0.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Montehermoso
4:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Badajoz
0:1
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Montehermoso vs CD Badajoz
0:4
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Montehermoso
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Barba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bermudez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.36

Montehermoso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.26

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 95 / 100
Montehermoso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Montehermoso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Montehermoso let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

CD Badajoz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Montehermoso
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
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Montehermoso

(Away)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
Montehermoso
0 : 3
Villanovense
26 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
2 : 1
Montehermoso
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2
AD Llerenense
12 Apr
CD Badajoz
4 : 0
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)