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CD Badajoz vs Moralo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Badajoz
35%
Draws
28%
Moralo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Badajoz's way, sitting at 70%.
  • CD Badajoz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moralo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Moralo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Moralo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.16 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 0.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Moralo
0:0
May 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Moralo
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Moralo vs CD Badajoz
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Moralo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 77 / 100
Moralo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Moralo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Badajoz scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

CD Badajoz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moralo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Moralo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.57
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

Moralo

(Away)
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CD Badajoz 2
Jaraiz 1
Moralo 1
CD Azuaga 0
Final
CD Badajoz 2
Moralo 0