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CD Badajoz vs Pueblonuevo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Domingo Domingo

AI Match Summary

CD Badajoz in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CD Badajoz
30%
Draws
12%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Badajoz lately — more wins on the board than Pueblonuevo.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Badajoz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Badajoz Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Pueblonuevo vs CD Badajoz
0:5
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Pueblonuevo
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CD Badajoz
0:3
Aug 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Pueblonuevo vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs CD Badajoz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingo Domingo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pueblonuevo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Badajoz 95 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Badajoz Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Badajoz scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Pueblonuevo conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: CD Badajoz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Badajoz VS Pueblonuevo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Badajoz

(Home)
27 Sept
Las Palmas B
0 : 0
CD Badajoz
20 Sept
CD Badajoz
0 : 1
Betis B
13 Sept
Xerez CD
1 : 2
CD Badajoz
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Pueblonuevo

(Away)
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)