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CD Barquereno vs Cayon CD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
CD Barquereno Logo

CD Barquereno

4 - 1
FT
Cayon CD Logo

Cayon CD

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sanchez M.
44' Event
Gutierrez H.
55' Event
Gutierrez H.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CD Barquereno and Cayon CD finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Barquereno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Barquereno
30%
Draws
58%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of CD Barquereno on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cayon CD a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno Cayon CD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Cayon CD
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Barquereno
5:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Barquereno
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Cayon CD
4:1
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs CD Barquereno
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 10 / 100
Cayon CD 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

CD Barquereno's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cayon CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

CD Barquereno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS Cayon CD
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Barquereno

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)