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CD Barquereno vs Velarde

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
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Match Events

73' Event
Lavin R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Barquereno and Velarde finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velarde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
CD Barquereno
35%
Draws
46%
Velarde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Velarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Velarde haven't matched CD Barquereno's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 20%
Velarde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Barquereno Velarde
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs Velarde
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Barquereno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Velarde Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Barquereno 32 / 100
Velarde 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Barquereno Velarde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velarde let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

CD Barquereno found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

CD Barquereno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Barquereno VS Velarde
1.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Barquereno

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Velarde

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
01 May
Velarde
0 : 2
CD Siete Villas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Revilla 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bezana 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 CD Tropezon 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Vimenor 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Torina 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Castro 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
7 Velarde 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 CD Laredo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Cayon CD 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Atletico Mineros 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 UD Samano 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 CD Barquereno 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 UM Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Selaya 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Naval Reinosa 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 Atletico Albericia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Solares 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)