Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010

Almeria B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Baza play Almeria B in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Baza averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Almeria B averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, CD Baza won 0, Almeria B won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 11, 2010 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for CD Baza and 0.93 for Almeria B. This points to a CD Baza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

CD Baza

32%

Draws

28%

Almeria B

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

CD Baza picked up more points recently compared to Almeria B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

CD Baza Clean Sheet 24%

Almeria B Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Baza	Almeria B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	3
Draws	6	9
Losses	16	18
Goals Scored	0.83	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Almeria B

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Almeria B vs CD Baza

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Almeria B vs CD Baza

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Almeria B

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 41 / 100

Almeria B 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Baza Almeria B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Baza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Baza attacking → ← attacking Almeria B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baza scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Almeria B let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Baza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Almeria B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 18

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mancha	36	20	8	8	53:26	68
2	Motril	36	18	12	6	54:24	66
3	El Palo	36	19	6	11	59:44	63
4	Almeria B	36	17	10	9	62:37	61
5	CD Ronda	36	17	9	10	64:51	60
6	Malaga B	36	16	11	9	56:44	59
7	Comarca	36	17	6	13	52:34	57
8	Ciudad de Vicar	36	13	14	9	52:48	53
9	Loja	36	13	10	13	42:40	49
10	Antequera	36	11	14	11	43:38	47
11	Velez	36	14	5	17	50:52	47
12	CD Alhaurino	36	12	9	15	53:54	45
13	Adra	36	12	9	15	47:59	45
14	Santa Fe	36	11	8	17	40:55	41
15	UD Carboneras	36	10	8	18	43:63	38
16	Huetor Tajar	36	11	5	20	44:67	38
17	CD Baza	36	9	10	17	36:54	37
18	Arenas Armilla	36	9	8	19	33:63	35
19	Ejido 2	19	7	3	9	21:22	24
20	Vera CD	19	1	7	11	17:46	10