Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010

Ciudad de Vicar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Baza play Ciudad de Vicar in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Baza averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ciudad de Vicar averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, CD Baza won 1, Ciudad de Vicar won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 27, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for CD Baza and 0.80 for Ciudad de Vicar. This points to a CD Baza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

CD Baza

29%

Draws

26%

Ciudad de Vicar

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

CD Baza picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad de Vicar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.80 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 27%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%

CD Baza Clean Sheet 26%

Ciudad de Vicar Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Baza	Ciudad de Vicar
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	5
Draws	6	4
Losses	16	23
Goals Scored	0.83	0.53
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Vicar vs CD Baza

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Ciudad de Vicar

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Ciudad de Vicar

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Vicar vs CD Baza

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Ciudad de Vicar vs CD Baza

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Baza 46 / 100

Ciudad de Vicar 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Baza Ciudad de Vicar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Baza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +28.5%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Baza attacking → ← attacking Ciudad de Vicar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baza scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad de Vicar let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CD Baza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Vicar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 19

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mancha	36	20	8	8	53:26	68
2	Motril	36	18	12	6	54:24	66
3	El Palo	36	19	6	11	59:44	63
4	Almeria B	36	17	10	9	62:37	61
5	CD Ronda	36	17	9	10	64:51	60
6	Malaga B	36	16	11	9	56:44	59
7	Comarca	36	17	6	13	52:34	57
8	Ciudad de Vicar	36	13	14	9	52:48	53
9	Loja	36	13	10	13	42:40	49
10	Antequera	36	11	14	11	43:38	47
11	Velez	36	14	5	17	50:52	47
12	CD Alhaurino	36	12	9	15	53:54	45
13	Adra	36	12	9	15	47:59	45
14	Santa Fe	36	11	8	17	40:55	41
15	UD Carboneras	36	10	8	18	43:63	38
16	Huetor Tajar	36	11	5	20	44:67	38
17	CD Baza	36	9	10	17	36:54	37
18	Arenas Armilla	36	9	8	19	33:63	35
19	Ejido 2	19	7	3	9	21:22	24
20	Vera CD	19	1	7	11	17:46	10