Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Boiro vs Alondras

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Mesa A.
90'
Cortegoso V.
90'
Camba L.

AI Match Summary

CD Boiro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Boiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CD Boiro
15%
Draws
32%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Alondras haven't matched CD Boiro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Boiro a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Alondras
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Alondras
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Boiro
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Boiro
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Alondras
0:0
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Alondras
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Alondras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 95 / 100
Alondras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Boiro scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Alondras conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Boiro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Alondras
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

Alondras

(Away)
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)