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CD Boiro vs Estradense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Padin H.
62' Event
Taboada E.
75'
Samu

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between CD Boiro and Estradense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Boiro
30%
Draws
23%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Boiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Boiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Estradense here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%
Estradense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Estradense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Estradense
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs CD Boiro
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs CD Boiro
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Estradense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Casais V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Padin H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taboada E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 95 / 100
Estradense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Boiro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Estradense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: CD Boiro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Estradense
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
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Estradense

(Away)
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)