Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Leon J.
56'
56'
Socorro A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between CD Buzanada and Estrella finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Estrella's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what CD Buzanada have produced (0.77).
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Estrella taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 17%
Estrella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Buzanada | Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Estrella
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs CD Buzanada
1:0
Dec 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Estrella
2:1
Aug 20, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs CD Buzanada
1:0
Apr 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Estrella
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Buzanada Compare
Top Goalscorer Leon J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Estrella Compare
Top Goalscorer Socorro A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Buzanada 28 / 100
Estrella 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Buzanada Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Estrella conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
CD Buzanada scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: CD Buzanada stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Buzanada VS Estrella
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Buzanada
(Home) 10 May
Arucas
5 : 1 CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
04 Apr
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 Ibarra
23 Mar
CD Buzanada
1 : 2 Panaderia
09 Mar
CD Buzanada
0 : 2 Las Palmas B
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Estrella
(Away) 11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2 CD Marino
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04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
06 Apr
Mensajero
3 : 2 Estrella
21 Mar
Arucas
2 : 0 Estrella
07 Mar
Union Viera
0 : 2 Estrella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
