Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Buzanada vs Ibarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lias Montero A.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Ouali N.
57' Event
Gonzalez V.

AI Match Summary

CD Buzanada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Buzanada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Buzanada
15%
Draws
59%
Ibarra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ibarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ibarra have won more games recently than CD Buzanada.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 17%
Ibarra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Buzanada Ibarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Ibarra
2:1
Nov 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs CD Buzanada
2:0
Apr 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Ibarra
2:0
Nov 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Ibarra vs CD Buzanada
3:0
Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs Ibarra
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Buzanada Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouali N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ibarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Buzanada 31 / 100
Ibarra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Buzanada Ibarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ibarra let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Buzanada's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: CD Buzanada remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Buzanada VS Ibarra
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Buzanada

(Home)
10 May
Arucas
5 : 1
CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0
CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3
CD Buzanada
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Ibarra

(Away)
24 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0
Ibarra
17 May
Ibarra
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
11 May
Ibarra
3 : 1
Tamaraceite
04 May
Las Palmas B
2 : 0
Ibarra
26 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
Herbania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)