Sport Picks

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CD Calahorra B vs Racing Rioja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Urquiza Paniagua C. B.

AI Match Summary

Racing Rioja in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Rioja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Calahorra B
20%
Draws
0%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Calahorra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Calahorra B lately — more wins on the board than Racing Rioja.
  • CD Calahorra B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Racing Rioja here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Calahorra B Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra B Racing Rioja
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 13 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs CD Calahorra B
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Racing Rioja
0:1
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Racing Rioja vs CD Calahorra B
2:0
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Racing Rioja
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calahorra B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Racing Rioja Compare

Top Goalscorer Urquiza Paniagua C. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra B 95 / 100
Racing Rioja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra B Racing Rioja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Racing Rioja has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Calahorra B found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Racing Rioja conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Calahorra B VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra B

(Home)
11 May
Oyonesa
3 : 3
CD Calahorra B
01 May
CD Calahorra B
1 : 1
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
CD Calahorra B
17 Apr
CD Calahorra B
2 : 0
Haro Deportivo
12 Apr
Agoncillo
2 : 0
CD Calahorra B
Page 1 of 7

Racing Rioja

(Away)
12 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
05 May
Oyonesa
2 : 1
Racing Rioja
01 May
Racing Rioja
0 : 4
Comillas CF
27 Apr
Berceo
5 : 2
Racing Rioja
21 Apr
Racing Rioja
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)