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CD Calahorra B vs Varea Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
CD Calahorra B Logo

CD Calahorra B

1 - 2
FT
Varea Logo

Varea

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ubis E.
38' Event
Rodriguez J. C.
80' Event
Esteban Navaridas G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between CD Calahorra B and Varea finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Calahorra B
35%
Draws
28%
Varea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Calahorra B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Calahorra B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Varea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Calahorra B Clean Sheet 68%
Varea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra B Varea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Varea
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CD Calahorra B
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Varea
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs CD Calahorra B
0:1
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra B vs Varea
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calahorra B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Varea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ubis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esteban Navaridas G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra B 86 / 100
Varea 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra B Varea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra B found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

CD Calahorra B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Varea conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varea
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra B

(Home)
11 May
Oyonesa
3 : 3
CD Calahorra B
01 May
CD Calahorra B
1 : 1
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
CD Calahorra B
17 Apr
CD Calahorra B
2 : 0
Haro Deportivo
12 Apr
Agoncillo
2 : 0
CD Calahorra B
Page 1 of 6

Varea

(Away)
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1
Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1
Varea
24 May
Varea
0 : 2
Oyonesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)