Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Calahorra vs Arnedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Vidorreta Larumbe J.
69' Event
Pascual I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Arnedo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CD Calahorra
20%
Draws
51%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arnedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Arnedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on CD Calahorra taking it.
  • Arnedo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Arnedo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra Arnedo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.43 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calahorra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidorreta Larumbe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra 59 / 100
Arnedo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Arnedo let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

CD Calahorra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calahorra VS Arnedo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra

(Home)
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2
Arnedo
09 May
Yague
4 : 4
CD Calahorra
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0
Comillas CF
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Arnedo

(Away)
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2
Oyonesa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Arnedo 3
CD Calahorra 0
Varea 0
Oyonesa 2
Final
Arnedo 3
Oyonesa 2