Sport Picks
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
Espuny A.
35'
35'
Millan R. G.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Calamonte and AD Llerenense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Llerenense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- CD Calamonte haven't matched AD Llerenense's recent run of results.
- 78% — that's where the model lands on AD Llerenense taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and AD Llerenense have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 19%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Calamonte | AD Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Calamonte
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
0:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
0:1
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs AD Llerenense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Calamonte Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
AD Llerenense Compare
Top Goalscorer Espuny A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Millan R. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
AD Llerenense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Calamonte AD Llerenense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Llerenense has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
CD Calamonte found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: CD Calamonte stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Calamonte VS AD Llerenense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Calamonte
(Home) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
05 Apr
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 CD Diocesano
22 Mar
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 Don Benito
08 Mar
CD Calamonte
0 : 1 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 3
AD Llerenense
(Away) 19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0 Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1 AD Llerenense
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1 AD Llerenense
19 Apr
Montehermoso
2 : 2 AD Llerenense
03 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0 AD Llerenense
15 Mar
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
