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CD Calamonte vs Cabeza del Buey

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Mina P.

AI Match Summary

Cabeza del Buey in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabeza del Buey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Calamonte
15%
Draws
73%
Cabeza del Buey
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabeza del Buey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cabeza del Buey lately — more wins on the board than CD Calamonte.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Cabeza del Buey taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%
Cabeza del Buey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte Cabeza del Buey
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Cabeza del Buey
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Cabeza del Buey vs CD Calamonte
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cabeza del Buey Compare

Top Goalscorer Mina P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 14 / 100
Cabeza del Buey 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte Cabeza del Buey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabeza del Buey Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cabeza del Buey registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Calamonte scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cabeza del Buey let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS Cabeza del Buey
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

Cabeza del Buey

(Away)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
10 May
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
03 May
Jaraiz
2 : 1
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)