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CD Calamonte vs CD Azuaga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Parada J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Calamonte and CD Azuaga finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Calamonte
30%
Draws
58%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Azuaga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CD Azuaga
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CD Calamonte
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Calamonte vs CD Azuaga
3:2
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CD Azuaga
2:4
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs CD Calamonte
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Parada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Calamonte found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Azuaga let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: CD Calamonte remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS CD Azuaga
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
10 May
Pueblonuevo
1 : 0
CD Azuaga
02 May
CD Azuaga
4 : 2
Montijo
26 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)