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CD Calamonte vs CD Badajoz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Domingo Domingo
63' Event
Quezada G.
70' Event
Domingo Domingo

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Calamonte and CD Badajoz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
CD Calamonte
30%
Draws
62%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • CD Calamonte haven't matched CD Badajoz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 21
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.67 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CD Badajoz
0:3
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs CD Calamonte
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Calamonte vs CD Badajoz
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs CD Calamonte
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs CD Badajoz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingo Domingo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quezada G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.29
Avg xA / game 1.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 14 / 100
CD Badajoz 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Calamonte scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Badajoz has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

CD Calamonte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS CD Badajoz
0.83 Goals Scored 2.88
2.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6

CD Badajoz

(Away)
05 Aug
CD Badajoz
0 : 3
CD Coria
20 Jun
CD Cuarte
1 : 1
CD Badajoz
14 Jun
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
CD Cuarte
07 Jun
CD Badajoz
0 : 0
Moralo
31 May
Moralo
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)