Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Rocha H.
90'
90'
Marquez F.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Calamonte and Don Benito finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Don Benito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- CD Calamonte haven't matched Don Benito's recent run of results.
- Don Benito are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 16%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Calamonte | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 18 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Don Benito
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Calamonte
2:0
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs CD Calamonte
3:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Don Benito
1:0
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
CD Calamonte vs Don Benito
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Calamonte Compare
Top Goalscorer Marquez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Don Benito Compare
Top Goalscorer Rocha H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
Don Benito 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Calamonte Don Benito
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
CD Calamonte's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Don Benito let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: CD Calamonte remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Calamonte VS Don Benito
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Calamonte
(Home) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 6
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
05 Apr
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 CD Diocesano
22 Mar
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 Don Benito
08 Mar
CD Calamonte
0 : 1 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 3
Don Benito
(Away) 08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1 Don Benito
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 Don Benito
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Moralo
1 : 1 Don Benito
26 Apr
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 Don Benito
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
22 Mar
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 Don Benito
08 Mar
Jaraiz
3 : 0 Don Benito
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
