Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Calamonte vs RCP Valverdeno Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sanchez J.
58'
Rivero D.
72' Event
Ferrera M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 game between CD Calamonte and RCP Valverdeno finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Calamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Calamonte
15%
Draws
73%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RCP Valverdeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CD Calamonte have managed 0.98 goals a game lately — RCP Valverdeno are scoring more at 1.07.
  • RCP Valverdeno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 21%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 15 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.98 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
6:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs RCP Valverdeno
2:1
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
3:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs RCP Valverdeno
2:2
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 29 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCP Valverdeno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: RCP Valverdeno conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: RCP Valverdeno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Calamonte scored in 59% of their last 41 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 9

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)