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CD Calamonte vs UP Plasencia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023
CD Calamonte Logo

CD Calamonte

0 - 1
FT
UP Plasencia Logo

UP Plasencia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 game between CD Calamonte and UP Plasencia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Plasencia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Calamonte
30%
Draws
47%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UP Plasencia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UP Plasencia come out ahead of CD Calamonte on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Calamonte a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 20%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calamonte UP Plasencia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs UP Plasencia
0:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs CD Calamonte
1:2
Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs CD Calamonte
2:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs UP Plasencia
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs CD Calamonte
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calamonte 36 / 100
UP Plasencia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calamonte UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UP Plasencia conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UP Plasencia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Calamonte found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Calamonte VS UP Plasencia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calamonte

(Home)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

UP Plasencia

(Away)
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
24 Aug
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
Moralo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Llerenense 30 18 10 2 52:22 64
2 CD Azuaga 30 19 5 6 58:29 62
3 Moralo 30 15 10 5 52:24 55
4 Olivenza FC 30 15 8 7 46:33 53
5 Jerez CF 30 13 10 7 39:25 49
6 Arroyo 30 13 7 10 30:31 46
7 CF Trujillo 30 12 8 10 28:28 44
8 SP Villafranca 30 12 7 11 34:33 43
9 CD Calamonte 30 12 6 12 38:33 42
10 Fuente de Cantos 30 9 12 9 23:28 39
11 Pueblonuevo 30 7 11 12 36:41 32
12 Montehermoso 30 8 7 15 31:53 31
13 Don Alvaro 30 7 6 17 27:54 27
14 Miajadas 30 7 5 18 23:41 26
15 UP Plasencia 30 6 6 18 31:43 24
16 La Estrella 30 5 6 19 30:60 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2022/2023 (Play Offs)