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CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Cantolagua host Cirbonero in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CD Cantolagua have averaged 0.83 scored and 2.41 conceded recently, against Cirbonero's 0.87 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, CD Cantolagua have won 1 to Cirbonero's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 1, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.81, favoring Cirbonero. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CD Cantolagua
20%
Draws
32%
Cirbonero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cirbonero come out ahead of CD Cantolagua on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 11%
Cirbonero Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cantolagua Cirbonero
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Cantolagua
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
0:0
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cirbonero vs CD Cantolagua
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cirbonero
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cantolagua 30 / 100
Cirbonero 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cantolagua Cirbonero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cirbonero let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Cirbonero has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Cantolagua's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cantolagua VS Cirbonero
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cantolagua

(Home)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6

Cirbonero

(Away)
04 Oct
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Mutilvera
27 Sept
Subiza
2 : 0
Cirbonero
20 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 0
CD Beti Onak
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Cirbonero
0 : 4
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Beti Kozkor 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Gazte Berriak 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
4 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Doneztebe FT 6 1 3 2 11:8 6
10 Valle Egues 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
11 Txantrea 6 1 3 2 4:9 6
12 CD Beti Onak 6 0 5 1 5:8 5
13 Cortes 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
14 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
15 Huarte 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)