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CD Cantolagua vs Cortes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
CD Cantolagua Logo

CD Cantolagua

1 - 3
FT
Cortes Logo

Cortes

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ayesa J.
40' Event
Drammeh M.
76' Event
Bouguettaya T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cortes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Cantolagua
30%
Draws
31%
Cortes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cortes lately — more wins on the board than CD Cantolagua.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CD Cantolagua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cortes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 19%
Cortes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cantolagua Cortes
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cortes
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
3:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Cortes
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs CD Cantolagua
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cantolagua Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayesa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Drammeh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouguettaya T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cantolagua 42 / 100
Cortes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cantolagua Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cortes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

CD Cantolagua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Cortes has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Cantolagua VS Cortes
0.4 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.88
40% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cantolagua

(Home)
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1
CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6

Cortes

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Cortes
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)