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CD Carinena vs Calamocha

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between CD Carinena and Calamocha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Carinena
35%
Draws
45%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Calamocha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CD Carinena are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calamocha have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 16%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Carinena Calamocha
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 18
Draws 16 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Calamocha
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CD Carinena
3:1
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CD Carinena
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Calamocha
2:3
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs CD Carinena
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Carinena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Carinena 41 / 100
Calamocha 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Carinena Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Carinena scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

CD Carinena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Calamocha has conceded goals in 39% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Carinena VS Calamocha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Carinena

(Home)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1
CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2
CD Caspe
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Calamocha

(Away)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)