Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Castro vs Barco

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD Castro and Barco finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Castro
20%
Draws
64%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barco come out ahead of CD Castro on wins alone.
  • Barco are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 16%
Barco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Barco
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 22
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Barco
2:0
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Castro
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 28 / 100
Barco 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

CD Castro's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Barco conceded in 57% of 42 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Montaneros
0 : 0
Barco
Page 1 of 9