Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD Castro and Cerceda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and CD Castro come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Castro | Cerceda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Cerceda conceded in 89% of 35 recent games.
Attacking prowess: CD Castro scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Cerceda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
