Sport Picks

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CD Castro vs Compostela

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Castro in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CD Castro
30%
Draws
58%
Compostela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Compostela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Compostela lately — more wins on the board than CD Castro.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Compostela taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 18%
Compostela Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Compostela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs CD Castro
3:1
Sep 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Compostela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 20 / 100
Compostela 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Compostela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CD Castro scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Compostela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

CD Castro has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Compostela
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Compostela

(Away)
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
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