Sport Picks

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CD Castro vs Dubra SD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Castro in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Castro
20%
Draws
64%
Dubra SD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dubra SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Castro lately — more wins on the board than Dubra SD.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 16%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Dubra SD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.27 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Dubra SD
3:0
Sep 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs CD Castro
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 31 / 100
Dubra SD 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Dubra SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dubra SD let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

CD Castro's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dubra SD's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Castro VS Dubra SD
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Dubra SD

(Away)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
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