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CD Castro vs Ribadumia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ribadumia in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ribadumia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CD Castro
15%
Draws
76%
Ribadumia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ribadumia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ribadumia lately — more wins on the board than CD Castro.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Ribadumia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Ribadumia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Ribadumia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Ribadumia
0:1
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs CD Castro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 10 / 100
Ribadumia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Ribadumia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadumia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Castro scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ribadumia conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CD Castro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ribadumia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Ribadumia

(Away)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
Ribadumia
3 : 2
Paiosaco
06 Jun
Arzua
3 : 1
Ribadumia
30 May
Ribadumia
0 : 1
Viveiro
23 May
Agrupacion Estudiantil
0 : 2
Ribadumia
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