Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Castro vs SD Ordenes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Castro in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Castro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Castro
15%
Draws
0%
SD Ordenes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Castro lately — more wins on the board than SD Ordenes.
  • Win probability leans CD Castro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 20%
SD Ordenes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro SD Ordenes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.27 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs SD Ordenes
2:1
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Ordenes vs CD Castro
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 85 / 100
SD Ordenes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro SD Ordenes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ordenes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

SD Ordenes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

CD Castro scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Castro VS SD Ordenes
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
Page 1 of 6

SD Ordenes

(Away)
14 May
Villalonga
6 : 0
SD Ordenes
07 May
SD Ordenes
2 : 6
Racing Club Villalbes
30 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 2
Arosa SC
23 Apr
Barco
2 : 1
SD Ordenes
13 Apr
SD Ordenes
0 : 3
Silva SD
Page 1 of 6