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CD Cebrerena vs La Baneza

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between CD Cebrerena and La Baneza finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Cebrerena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CD Cebrerena
15%
Draws
32%
La Baneza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • La Baneza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Cebrerena a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 20%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cebrerena La Baneza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs CD Cebrerena
0:1
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs La Baneza
3:0
Mar 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs La Baneza
2:2
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs CD Cebrerena
1:0
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs CD Cebrerena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cebrerena 85 / 100
La Baneza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cebrerena La Baneza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Baneza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: CD Cebrerena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

La Baneza lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cebrerena VS La Baneza
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cebrerena

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
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La Baneza

(Away)
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
0 : 3
Atletico Astorga
20 Jun
La Baneza
0 : 4
Almazan
12 Jun
Colegios Diocesanos
2 : 0
La Baneza
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
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