Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choco vs Alondras

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
15%
Draws
85%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alondras lately — more wins on the board than CD Choco.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 18%
Alondras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Alondras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Alondras
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Choco
2:1
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Alondras
1:1
Oct 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Choco
0:1
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs CD Choco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 36 / 100
Alondras 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alondras has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Alondras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Choco scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alondras
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

Alondras

(Away)
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Gran Pena
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)