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CD Choco vs Barco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barco in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
15%
Draws
85%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barco lately — more wins on the board than CD Choco.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Barco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 16%
Barco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Barco
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 5 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.09 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Barco
0:2
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Choco
1:0
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Choco
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Barco
0:0
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Choco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 36 / 100
Barco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Barco's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Barco let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)