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CD Choco vs Estradense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 game between CD Choco and Estradense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
20%
Draws
80%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estradense come out ahead of CD Choco on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estradense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 19%
Estradense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Estradense
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 5 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.09 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Estradense
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs CD Choco
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs CD Choco
1:1
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Estradense
2:4
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Estradense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 32 / 100
Estradense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Estradense has conceded goals in 63% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Estradense registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estradense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

Estradense

(Away)
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)