Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choco vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
CD Choco Logo

CD Choco

1 - 2
FT
Somozas Logo

Somozas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 game between CD Choco and Somozas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
30%
Draws
70%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Somozas have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 19%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Somozas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Somozas
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Choco
2:0
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Choco
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Somozas
0:1
Jun 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Choco
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 16 / 100
Somozas 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Somozas conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CD Choco scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Somozas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Somozas
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)