Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choloma vs Atletico Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma host Atletico Independiente in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Atletico Independiente have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while CD Choloma have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, CD Choloma have won 0 to Atletico Independiente's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.88) point toward Atletico Independiente. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Choloma
20%
Draws
15%
Atletico Independiente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Choloma lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Independiente.
  • Win probability leans CD Choloma's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Atletico Independiente
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 10 2
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.18 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Atletico Independiente vs CD Choloma
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 67 / 100
Atletico Independiente 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Atletico Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Independiente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

CD Choloma's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Choloma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Atletico Independiente
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
24 Oct
CD Choloma
3 : 1
Genesis FC
17 Oct
Juticalpa
1 : 2
CD Choloma
10 Oct
Motagua
2 : 1
CD Choloma
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Independiente

(Away)
31 Oct
Estrella
3 : 1
Atletico Independiente
25 Oct
Atletico Independiente
2 : 2
Marathon
18 Oct
Atletico Independiente
0 : 4
Lobos UPNFM
11 Oct
Olancho
1 : 1
Atletico Independiente
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 12 9 2 1 26:8 29
2 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
3 Motagua 12 8 1 3 19:9 25
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 12 3 7 2 15:12 16
6 Estrella 12 4 4 4 21:22 16
7 Lobos UPNFM 12 4 3 5 15:16 15
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 12 2 0 10 11:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)