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CD Choloma vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Capeluto J.
20'
Mayorquin R.
33'
Sub
Alvarez K. In: Zamora O.
Out: Alvarez K.

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CD Choloma
15%
Draws
37%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Choloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched CD Choloma's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Estrella
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 10 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Estrella
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Choloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Quejada J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Estrella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 36 / 100
Estrella 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

CD Choloma's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Choloma stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Estrella
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
01 Nov
CD Choloma
0 : 3
Olimpia
24 Oct
CD Choloma
3 : 1
Genesis FC
17 Oct
Juticalpa
1 : 2
CD Choloma
10 Oct
Motagua
2 : 1
CD Choloma
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Estrella

(Away)
31 Oct
Estrella
3 : 1
Atletico Independiente
24 Oct
Olancho
3 : 3
Estrella
18 Oct
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Estrella
11 Oct
Estrella
0 : 1
Real Espana
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 13 10 2 1 34:8 32
2 Motagua 13 9 1 3 21:10 28
3 Real Espana 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Marathon 12 6 4 2 18:11 22
5 Olancho 13 3 8 2 15:12 17
6 Lobos UPNFM 13 4 4 5 15:16 16
7 Estrella 13 4 4 5 22:24 16
8 CD Choloma 12 4 1 7 12:15 13
9 Genesis FC 12 3 2 7 15:16 11
10 Atletico Independiente 12 2 5 5 11:21 11
11 Platense 12 2 2 8 12:29 8
12 Juticalpa 13 2 0 11 11:36 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)