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Stadium Background

CD Choloma vs Estrella

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
CD Choloma Logo

CD Choloma

2 - 0
FT
Estrella Logo

Estrella

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Capeluto J.
20'
Mayorquin R.
33'
Sub
Alvarez K. In: Zamora O.
Out: Alvarez K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choloma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Choloma
35%
Draws
39%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched CD Choloma's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 10%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Estrella
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 0.97 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Estrella
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Choloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Quejada J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Estrella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 29 / 100
Estrella 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

CD Choloma's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Choloma stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Estrella
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
16 Aug
CD Choloma
0 : 1
Marathon
Page 1 of 6

Estrella

(Away)
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
15 Aug
Lobos UPNFM
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marathon 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
2 Real Espana 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
3 Olimpia 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Motagua 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
5 Genesis FC 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Olancho 7 2 4 1 6:5 10
7 Atletico Independiente 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
8 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
12 Juticalpa 7 1 0 6 5:17 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)