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CD Choloma vs Genesis FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma host Genesis FC in the Liga Nacional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: CD Choloma at 1.03 goals for, 1.45 against; Genesis FC at 1.13 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, CD Choloma have won 1 to Genesis FC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.19, favoring Genesis FC. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Choloma
20%
Draws
40%
Genesis FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Genesis FC have won more games recently than CD Choloma.
  • CD Choloma are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Genesis FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
2:0
Mar 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 36 / 100
Genesis FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Genesis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choloma scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Genesis FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Genesis FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Genesis FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
10 Oct
Motagua
2 : 1
CD Choloma
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
Page 1 of 6

Genesis FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
13 Sept
Motagua
1 : 0
Genesis FC
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Marathon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
2 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
3 Marathon 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
4 Motagua 9 5 1 3 13:9 16
5 Genesis FC 9 3 2 4 10:7 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 9 2 1 6 7:10 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)