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CD Choloma vs Genesis FC

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Ruben Deras
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rocha D.
8'
Franco J.
20'
Franco J.

AI Match Summary

Genesis FC in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genesis FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CD Choloma
28%
Draws
50%
Genesis FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Genesis FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genesis FC lately — more wins on the board than CD Choloma.
  • Win probability leans Genesis FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 13%
Genesis FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Genesis FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Genesis FC vs CD Choloma
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Genesis FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Choloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Genesis FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejeda A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 22 / 100
Genesis FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Genesis FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Genesis FC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Choloma scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Choloma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Genesis FC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Espana20117237:2540
2Motagua20116336:1739
3Olimpia20115435:1738
4Olancho2088428:1632
5Marathon2076723:1927
6Genesis FC2065920:2823
7CD Choloma2065923:3223
8Platense2056926:2921
9Lobos UPNFM2056923:3021
10Juticalpa20461018:4118
11Victoria20441225:4016