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CD Choloma vs Marathon

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
CD Choloma Logo

CD Choloma

0 - 0
FT
Marathon Logo

Marathon

Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Figueroa H. In: Bodden K.
Out: Figueroa H.
45'
Ramos O.
50'
Fernandez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD Choloma
30%
Draws
35%
Marathon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marathon lately — more wins on the board than CD Choloma.
  • Model gives Marathon a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Marathon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Marathon
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs CD Choloma
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Marathon
0:0
Nov 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Marathon
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marathon vs CD Choloma
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Marathon vs CD Choloma
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 20 / 100
Marathon 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Marathon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Choloma scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Marathon has conceded goals in 54% of their last 35 outings.

CD Choloma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Marathon
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
01 Aug
Genesis FC
2 : 0
CD Choloma
01 May
Marathon
0 : 1
CD Choloma
26 Apr
Motagua
5 : 1
CD Choloma
19 Apr
CD Choloma
1 : 3
Olimpia
14 Apr
Victoria
2 : 5
CD Choloma
Page 1 of 6

Marathon

(Away)
08 Aug
Platense
1 : 1
Marathon
04 Aug
Marathon
1 : 0
Atletico Independiente
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
24 May
Motagua
1 : 0
Marathon
22 May
Marathon
1 : 1
Motagua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)