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CD Choloma vs Olimpia

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Ruben Deras, Choloma
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Chavez Y.
35'
Garcia R.
46'
Sub
Garcia R. In: Garcia F.
Out: Garcia R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between CD Choloma and Olimpia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olimpia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Choloma
20%
Draws
52%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia come out ahead of CD Choloma on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Olimpia have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Choloma Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choloma Olimpia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Olimpia
1:3
Feb 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs CD Choloma
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs CD Choloma
2:0
Jul 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
CD Choloma vs Olimpia
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Choloma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Olimpia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 20 / 100
Olimpia 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choloma Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

CD Choloma's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Olimpia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

CD Choloma has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Olimpia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choloma

(Home)
23 Aug
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Platense
16 Aug
CD Choloma
0 : 1
Marathon
10 Aug
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
CD Choloma
01 Aug
Genesis FC
2 : 0
CD Choloma
01 May
Marathon
0 : 1
CD Choloma
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Olimpia

(Away)
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
23 Aug
Olancho
1 : 1
Olimpia
21 Aug
Alianza
1 : 3
Olimpia
16 Aug
Olimpia
3 : 1
Motagua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 20 11 7 2 37:25 40
2 Motagua 20 11 6 3 36:17 39
3 Olimpia 20 11 5 4 35:17 38
4 Olancho 20 8 8 4 28:16 32
5 Marathon 20 7 6 7 23:19 27
6 Genesis FC 20 6 5 9 20:28 23
7 CD Choloma 20 6 5 9 23:32 23
8 Platense 20 5 6 9 26:29 21
9 Lobos UPNFM 20 5 6 9 23:30 21
10 Juticalpa 20 4 6 10 18:41 18
11 Victoria 20 4 4 12 25:40 16
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Triangulares)