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CD Colindres vs UC Cartes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Mejia C.

AI Match Summary

UC Cartes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UC Cartes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Colindres
30%
Draws
23%
UC Cartes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Colindres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Colindres have won more games recently than UC Cartes.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Colindres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors UC Cartes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colindres UC Cartes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.77 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UC Cartes
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs CD Colindres
2:0
Mar 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs UC Cartes
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs CD Colindres
2:1
Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs CD Colindres
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colindres Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colindres 59 / 100
UC Cartes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colindres UC Cartes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Cartes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

UC Cartes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

CD Colindres's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Colindres VS UC Cartes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colindres

(Home)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7

UC Cartes

(Away)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)