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CD Colunga vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Garcia M.
67' Event
Tochukwu A.
78' Event
Farpon M.

AI Match Summary

CD Colunga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Colunga
35%
Draws
37%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Astur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Colunga lately — more wins on the board than Astur.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Astur taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Colunga have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 13%
Astur Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga Astur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.34 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Astur
2:1
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Colunga
0:2
Aug 30, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Astur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tochukwu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Astur Compare

Top Goalscorer Farpon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 19 / 100
Astur 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Astur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

CD Colunga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Colunga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS Astur
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
01 Nov
Aviles Stadium
1 : 1
CD Colunga
25 Oct
CD Colunga
0 : 4
Lealtad
18 Oct
Gijon B
4 : 0
CD Colunga
10 Oct
CD Colunga
5 : 5
Praviano
03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0
CD Colunga
Page 1 of 7

Astur

(Away)
01 Nov
Llanes
1 : 0
Astur
25 Oct
Andes CF
3 : 3
Astur
18 Oct
Astur
1 : 1
Condal
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2
Astur
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)