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Stadium Background

CD Colunga vs Astur

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Garcia M.
67' Event
Tochukwu A.
78' Event
Farpon M.

AI Match Summary

CD Colunga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Colunga
15%
Draws
28%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Colunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Colunga lately — more wins on the board than Astur.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Colunga have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 68%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga Astur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.22 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Astur
2:1
Jan 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs CD Colunga
0:2
Aug 30, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Astur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tochukwu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Astur Compare

Top Goalscorer Farpon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 41 / 100
Astur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colunga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

CD Colunga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Astur lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS Astur
1 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
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Astur

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
15 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Astur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mosconia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Condal 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
3 Caudal Deportivo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Gijon B 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 CD Colunga 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
6 Covadonga 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
7 Club Siero 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Praviano 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Union Club Ceares 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Lealtad 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Gijon Industrial 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 L Entregu CF 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
13 Langreo 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Andes CF 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
15 Astur 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Aviles Stadium 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
17 Llanes 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
18 EI San Martin 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)