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CD Colunga vs CD Mosconia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
CD Colunga Logo

CD Colunga

1 - 0
FT
CD Mosconia Logo

CD Mosconia

Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Fernandez N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between CD Colunga and CD Mosconia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Colunga
30%
Draws
47%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mosconia come out ahead of CD Colunga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 17%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga CD Mosconia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs CD Mosconia
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs CD Colunga
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs CD Mosconia
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs CD Colunga
0:1
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs CD Colunga
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CD Mosconia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 31 / 100
CD Mosconia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Colunga's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: CD Mosconia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CD Mosconia conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS CD Mosconia
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6

CD Mosconia

(Away)
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1
CD Mosconia
03 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)