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CD Colunga vs EI San Martin

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
CD Colunga Logo

CD Colunga

2 - 3
FT
EI San Martin Logo

EI San Martin

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ferreres A.
27' Event
Angulo J.
Own Goal
39' Event
Fernandez N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between CD Colunga and EI San Martin finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EI San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Colunga
15%
Draws
42%
EI San Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Colunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EI San Martin come out ahead of CD Colunga on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Colunga a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 12%
EI San Martin Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colunga EI San Martin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs EI San Martin
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Colunga
1:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Colunga
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs EI San Martin
2:2
Mar 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
EI San Martin vs CD Colunga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreres A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

EI San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Biforcos M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Revuelta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colunga 35 / 100
EI San Martin 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colunga EI San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

CD Colunga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

EI San Martin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Away concern: EI San Martin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Colunga VS EI San Martin
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colunga

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
Page 1 of 6

EI San Martin

(Away)
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
06 Aug
Navarro
0 : 3
EI San Martin
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Gijon B
2 : 0
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)